Tennis · ATP Brussels · 22/10, 12:00
Prediction: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka
Team pages: Raphael Collignon · Jiri Lehecka
Prediction summary
Winner
Raphael Collignon
Jiri Lehecka
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Raphael Collignon
4-6 (W-L)
Jiri Lehecka
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raphael Collignon
0–1
Jiri Lehecka
(1 last)
- 29 Aug0-3 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphael Collignon 1484 · Jiri Lehecka 1564
| Raphael Collignon | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Lehecka (rating 1484 vs 1564).
- Jiri Lehecka is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Raphael Collignon 0–1 Jiri Lehecka (1).
- Note: Raphael Collignon makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Raphael Collignon | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-15.6 | 13.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 81.7% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.2
Over 22.5: 71% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 29% · 1.72
H2H · Raphael Collignon 0 – 1 Jiri Lehecka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raphael Collignon 0–1 Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/25 US Open | 0-3 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphael Collignon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Sebastian Gorzny US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 24-25 | L |
| 25/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-21 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka?
Our model gives 69% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.