Tennis · ATP Brussels · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs
Team pages: Jan-Lennard Struff · Zizou Bergs
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan-Lennard Struff
Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan-Lennard Struff
8-2 (W-L)
Zizou Bergs
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan-Lennard Struff
1–1
Zizou Bergs
(2 last)
- 04 Mar0-2 7-12L
- 16 Sept2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan-Lennard Struff 1534 · Zizou Bergs 1560
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.4 | 13.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 76% |
| Break % | 36% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 39% · 2.00
H2H · Jan-Lennard Struff 1 – 1 Zizou Bergs (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan-Lennard Struff 1–1 Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 ATP Indian Wells | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09/22 Davis Cup | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Marcos Giron ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 01/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Toby Samuel ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Vit Kopriva ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Lukas Neumayer Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model gives 60% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.