Tennis · ATP Brussels · 23/10, 12:00
Prediction: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka
Team pages: Tallon Griekspoor · Jiri Lehecka
Prediction summary
Winner
Tallon Griekspoor
Jiri Lehecka
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tallon Griekspoor
4-6 (W-L)
Jiri Lehecka
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tallon Griekspoor
2–0
Jiri Lehecka
(2 last)
- 12 Nov2-0 13-10W
- 11 Jun2-1 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tallon Griekspoor 1498 · Jiri Lehecka 1580
| Tallon Griekspoor | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Lehecka (rating 1498 vs 1580).
- Tallon Griekspoor dominates on serve: 11.6 aces and 49.1% break avg.
- Jiri Lehecka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tallon Griekspoor 2–0 Jiri Lehecka (2).
Statistics
| Tallon Griekspoor | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.7 | 13.7-10 |
| Aces | 11.6 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 83.3% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.9
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.90
H2H · Tallon Griekspoor 2 – 0 Jiri Lehecka (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tallon Griekspoor 2–0 Jiri Lehecka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/21 Challenger Bratislava | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06/21 Challenger Bratislava | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Mejia Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 09/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Jiri Lehecka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Raphael Collignon ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Learner Tien Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Ben Shelton Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka?
Our model gives 66% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.