Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Tommy Paul
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Tommy Paul
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
5-5 (W-L)
Tommy Paul
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi
0–3
Tommy Paul
(3 last)
- 13 Jun0-2 7-12L
- 24 Mar0-2 8-12L
- 12 Jan0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1526 · Tommy Paul 1541
| Benjamin Bonzi | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tommy Paul dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi 0–3 Tommy Paul (3).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Tommy Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.8 | 15-12.8 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.3
Over 21.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 28% · 1.83
H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 3 Tommy Paul (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 0–3 Tommy Paul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/23 ATP Stuttgart | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/03/22 ATP Miami | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/01/22 ATP Adelaide 2 | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Molcan US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Tommy Paul
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexander Bublik US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-21 | W |
| 03/09 | Dino Prizmic US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 20/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul?
Our model gives 63% to Tommy Paul, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.