Prediction: Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche
Team pages: Valentin Vacherot · Luca Van Assche
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Vacherot
Luca Van Assche
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vacherot
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Van Assche
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Vacherot 1520 · Luca Van Assche 1520
| Valentin Vacherot | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Valentin Vacherot | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.3 | 12.3-12 |
| Aces | 10.1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 24.6% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Vacherot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/09 | Alexander Blockx ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Otto Virtanen Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Eero Vasa Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/08 | Cameron Norrie US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche?
Our model gives 58% to Valentin Vacherot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.