Tennis · Challenger Cali · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Nicolas Jarry
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Nicolas Jarry
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Jarry
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
2–1
Nicolas Jarry
(3 last)
- 06 Apr0-2 8-13L
- 17 Mar2-1 15-13W
- 16 Jul2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1533 · Nicolas Jarry 1510
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Nicolas Jarry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2–1 Nicolas Jarry (3).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Nicolas Jarry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.1 | 13.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 73% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2 – 1 Nicolas Jarry (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2–1 Nicolas Jarry
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/22 Challenger Mexico City | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/03/22 Challenger Concepcion | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07/21 Challenger Todi | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Remy Bertola Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Nicolas Jarry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Elmer Moller Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 11/04 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 10/04 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/04 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/03 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Adam Walton Challenger Cap Cana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/02 | Dino Prizmic ATP Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/02 | Jaime Faria ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry?
Our model gives 54% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.