Tennis · ATP Lyon · 22/10, 12:00

Prediction: Borna Gojo vs Daniel Altmaier

Team pages: Borna Gojo · Daniel Altmaier

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Borna Gojo Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Borna Gojo 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWW
Daniel Altmaier 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Borna Gojo 0–2 Daniel Altmaier (2 last)
  • 17 Jun0-2 9-13L
  • 07 Feb0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borna Gojo 1582 · Daniel Altmaier 1478
Borna GojoDaniel Altmaier
Our model65%35%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borna Gojo (rating 1582 vs 1478).
  • Borna Gojo dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 44.1% break avg.
  • Borna Gojo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Borna Gojo 0–2 Daniel Altmaier (2).

Statistics

Borna GojoDaniel Altmaier
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.70.9-1.6
Games (G-P)12.5-10.811.2-14.2
Aces9.67.9
Double faults2.63.1
1st serve %75.2%71.9%
Break %44.1%39.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.3
Over 24.5: 41% · 1.83 Under 24.5: 59% · 1.83

H2H · Borna Gojo 0 – 2 Daniel Altmaier (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borna Gojo 0–2 Daniel Altmaier

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/06/23
ATP Halle
0-29-13L
07/02/20
Challenger Launceston
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borna Gojo

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Arthur Fery
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/10 Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/10 Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
09/10 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/10 Philip Henning
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
05/10 Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
22/09 Vadym Ursu
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
17/09 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Daniel Altmaier

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Titouan Droguet
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
09/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Holger Rune
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
28/09 Jie Cui
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Zachary Svajda
US Open · Hard
1-3 13-24 L
26/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Francisco Comesana
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/08 Coleman Wong
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borna Gojo vs Daniel Altmaier?

Our model gives 57% to Borna Gojo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.