Prediction: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: Corentin Moutet · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Corentin Moutet
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Corentin Moutet
4-6 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corentin Moutet 1490 · Felix Balshaw 1527
| Corentin Moutet | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Felix Balshaw dominates on serve: 9 aces and 40% break avg.
Statistics
| Corentin Moutet | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.7 | 14.2-13.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.4
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corentin Moutet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 51% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.