Tennis · ATP Brussels · 22/10, 12:00
Prediction: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley
Team pages: Clement Chidekh · Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Clement Chidekh
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Clement Chidekh
8-2 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clement Chidekh
1–1
Jacob Fearnley
(2 last)
- 17 Feb2-1 14-11W
- 09 Jun1-2 15-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clement Chidekh 1631 · Jacob Fearnley 1543
| Clement Chidekh | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Chidekh (rating 1631 vs 1543).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Clement Chidekh | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.1 | 13.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.6
Over 23.5: 39% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 61% · 1.83
H2H · Clement Chidekh 1 – 1 Jacob Fearnley (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clement Chidekh 1–1 Jacob Fearnley
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Challenger Lille | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06/24 Challenger Nottingham | 1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clement Chidekh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/09 | David Goffin Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Jacob Fearnley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Hugo Gaston ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | George Loffhagen Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Martin Landaluce US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-22 | W |
| 28/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 51% to Clement Chidekh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.