Tennis · ATP Brussels · 22/10, 12:00
Prediction: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor
Team pages: Mariano Navone · Tallon Griekspoor
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariano Navone
Tallon Griekspoor
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mariano Navone
4-6 (W-L)
Tallon Griekspoor
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariano Navone 1485 · Tallon Griekspoor 1488
| Mariano Navone | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tallon Griekspoor dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 42.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Mariano Navone | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.3 | 13.5-13.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.2
Over 22.5: 71% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 29% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Matteo Berrettini US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Novak Djokovic US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-22 | W |
| 25/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Mejia Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 09/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Our model gives 56% to Tallon Griekspoor, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.