Tennis · M15 Monastir · 21/10, 10:30
Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Mario Arce Fernandez
Team pages: Robin Bertrand · Mario Arce Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Bertrand
Mario Arce Fernandez
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand
6-4 (W-L)
Mario Arce Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1544 · Mario Arce Fernandez 1510
| Robin Bertrand | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Robin Bertrand | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.4 | 10.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Bertrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Leo Deflandre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Daniel Batista M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Mario Arce Fernandez?
Our model gives 74% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.