Tennis · ATP Lyon · 22/10, 12:00

Prediction: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz

Team pages: Pierre-Hugues Herbert · Taylor Fritz

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Pierre-Hugues Herbert Taylor Fritz
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre-Hugues Herbert 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWWLLW
Taylor Fritz 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1–0 Taylor Fritz (1 last)
  • 21 Mar2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1522 · Taylor Fritz 1511
Pierre-Hugues HerbertTaylor Fritz
Our model52%48%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1–0 Taylor Fritz (1).
  • Note: Pierre-Hugues Herbert makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Pierre-Hugues HerbertTaylor Fritz
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.8-1.1
Games (G-P)13.7-11.815.9-13.3
Aces5.811.9
Double faults4.91.8
1st serve %74.4%76.5%
Break %31.6%32.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.7
Over 21.5: 74% · 1.72 Under 21.5: 26% · 2.00

H2H · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1 – 0 Taylor Fritz (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1–0 Taylor Fritz

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/03/18
ATP Miami
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Sebastian Baez
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/10 Maxim Mrva
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
18/10 Jurij Rodionov
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-12 W
14/10 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Roanne · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
13/10 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/08 Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
23/08 Quinn Vandecasteele
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 17-17 L
22/08 Kenta Miyoshi
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
18/07 Sandro Kopp
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Taylor Fritz

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
10/10 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
26/09 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Laver Cup · Hard
1-2 20-23 L
05/09 Francisco Cerundolo
US Open · Hard
2-3 23-25 L
03/09 Mattia Bellucci
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-2 W
01/09 Darwin Blanch
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-9 W
21/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
20/08 Christopher O'Connell
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz?

Our model gives 67% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.