Tennis · ATP Brussels · 21/10, 19:10
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Jan-Lennard Struff
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Jan-Lennard Struff
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
3-7 (W-L)
Jan-Lennard Struff
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1434 · Jan-Lennard Struff 1515
| Gauthier Onclin | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan-Lennard Struff (rating 1434 vs 1515).
- Jan-Lennard Struff is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.6 | 12.9-13.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 34% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.3
Over 21.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 35% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Harry Wendelken ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Dan Added Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Jan-Lennard Struff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Marcos Giron ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 01/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Jan-Lennard Struff?
Our model gives 71% to Jan-Lennard Struff, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.