Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 21/10, 08:00
Prediction: Alexander Vasilev vs Julio Cesar Porras
Team pages: Alexander Vasilev · Julio Cesar Porras
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Vasilev
Julio Cesar Porras
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Vasilev
4-6 (W-L)
Julio Cesar Porras
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Vasilev 1491 · Julio Cesar Porras 1556
| Alexander Vasilev | Julio Cesar Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1491 vs 1556).
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Vasilev | Julio Cesar Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10 | 11.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Mattia Nannelli M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Mihail Ivanov M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Clement Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Herve Antchandie M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | George Lazarov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mihailo Savic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Julio Cesar Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Snir Morag M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Mateo Martinez M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexandre Reco M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Maxime Chazal M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Vasilev vs Julio Cesar Porras?
Our model gives 54% to Julio Cesar Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.