Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 21/10, 08:30
Prediction: Sofia Martianova vs Alisa Vasileva
Team pages: Sofia Martianova · Alisa Vasileva
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Martianova
Alisa Vasileva
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Martianova
5-5 (W-L)
Alisa Vasileva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Martianova 1468 · Alisa Vasileva 1444
| Sofia Martianova | Alisa Vasileva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alisa Vasileva makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Martianova | Alisa Vasileva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-9.3 | 7.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Martianova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Iva Marinkovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Tamina Kochta W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Joody Elkady W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Martyna Kubka W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Ela Plosnik W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 20/04 | Paulina Martynova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Alisa Vasileva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Radka Zelnickova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jinte de Boer W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Zi Ye Zhang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Yidi Yang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Maiko Uchijima W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 11/08 | Sunam Jeong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Nikola Koprivova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Martianova vs Alisa Vasileva?
Our model gives 60% to Sofia Martianova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.