Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 29/10, 09:30
Prediction: Polina Kuharenko vs Alisa Ziatdinova
Team pages: Polina Kuharenko · Alisa Ziatdinova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kuharenko
Alisa Ziatdinova
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kuharenko
3-7 (W-L)
Alisa Ziatdinova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kuharenko 1424 · Alisa Ziatdinova 1480
| Polina Kuharenko | Alisa Ziatdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Ziatdinova (rating 1424 vs 1480).
- Note: Polina Kuharenko makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Alisa Ziatdinova makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kuharenko | Alisa Ziatdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11 | 8.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 50% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kuharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Emily Appleton W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Cherry Kim W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Monika Wojcik W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Rikke De Koning W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Alisa Ziatdinova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Kristina Belkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Ioana Stefania Boian W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Julia Szczerek W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Zihan Yang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 09/12 | Katy Dunne W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Jiselle Okoye W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Maria Ustic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kuharenko vs Alisa Ziatdinova?
Our model gives 65% to Polina Kuharenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.