Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 30/10, 08:00
Prediction: Polina Kuharenko vs Zuzanna Kolonus
Team pages: Polina Kuharenko · Zuzanna Kolonus
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kuharenko
Zuzanna Kolonus
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kuharenko
3-7 (W-L)
Zuzanna Kolonus
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kuharenko 1452 · Zuzanna Kolonus 1554
| Polina Kuharenko | Zuzanna Kolonus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Kolonus (rating 1452 vs 1554).
- Zuzanna Kolonus is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Polina Kuharenko makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Zuzanna Kolonus makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kuharenko | Zuzanna Kolonus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.1 | 10.6-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 49% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kuharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/10 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Emily Appleton W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Cherry Kim W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Monika Wojcik W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Rikke De Koning W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Zuzanna Kolonus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Viktoriia Sedenkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Sofia Martianova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Arina Gamretkaia W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Melissa Boyden W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 09/10 | Sophie Luescher W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Yelizaveta Trush W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Radom |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Barbara Straszewska W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kuharenko vs Zuzanna Kolonus?
Our model gives 58% to Zuzanna Kolonus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.