Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 28/10, 13:30

Prediction: Sofia Martianova vs Zuzanna Kolonus

Team pages: Sofia Martianova · Zuzanna Kolonus

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Sofia Martianova Zuzanna Kolonus
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Martianova 3-7 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLL
Zuzanna Kolonus 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Martianova 1445 · Zuzanna Kolonus 1527
Sofia MartianovaZuzanna Kolonus
Our model38%62%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Kolonus (rating 1445 vs 1527).
  • Zuzanna Kolonus is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Zuzanna Kolonus makes many double faults (7.1/match).

Statistics

Sofia MartianovaZuzanna Kolonus
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 20% (5) –
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.3-1
Games (G-P)7.6-11.410.9-9.1
Aces1.12.3
Double faults2.47.1
1st serve %54%65.3%
Break %38.8%51.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Martianova

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Sandra Samir
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/10 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
14/10 Iva Marinkovic
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Yuliya Perapekhina
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
16/09 Kateryna Diatlova
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Tamina Kochta
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
01/05 Valeriia Iushchenko
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 7-16 L
30/04 Joody Elkady
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
29/04 Caterina Odorizzi
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/04 Martyna Kubka
W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Zuzanna Kolonus

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Arina Gamretkaia
W15 Chisinau
0-2 9-13 L
14/10 Melissa Boyden
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-5 W
10/10 Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
W15 Chisinau
0-2 1-8 L
09/10 Sophie Luescher
W15 Chisinau
2-0 13-6 W
08/10 Yelizaveta Trush
W15 Chisinau
2-1 14-11 W
07/10 Krystyna Pochtovyk
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-4 W
11/09 Lucie Petruzelova
W15 Radom
0-2 6-12 L
10/09 Barbara Straszewska
W15 Radom
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Charlotte Narti
W15 Radom
2-1 15-10 W
06/09 Kateryna Lazarenko
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1-2 15-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Martianova vs Zuzanna Kolonus?

Our model gives 69% to Zuzanna Kolonus, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.