Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 21/10, 09:00
Prediction: Ellie Daniels vs Karla Popovic
Team pages: Ellie Daniels · Karla Popovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ellie Daniels
Karla Popovic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ellie Daniels
8-2 (W-L)
Karla Popovic
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ellie Daniels
0–1
Karla Popovic
(1 last)
- 14 Oct1-2 15-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ellie Daniels 1542 · Karla Popovic 1508
| Ellie Daniels | Karla Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ellie Daniels 0–1 Karla Popovic (1).
- Note: Ellie Daniels makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Ellie Daniels | Karla Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 10.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Ellie Daniels 0 – 1 Karla Popovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ellie Daniels 0–1 Karla Popovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/26 W15 Sharm El Sheikh | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ellie Daniels
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Karla Popovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/09 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Karolina Mrazikova W15 Pecs |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Radka Zelnickova W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Maja Wrobel W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Petra Konjikusic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Karla Popovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Annika Barth W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Ellie Daniels W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Francesca Dell'edera W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Mao Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Alice Gillan W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ellie Daniels vs Karla Popovic?
Our model gives 54% to Ellie Daniels, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.