Tennis · W35 Sydney · 21/10, 04:00
Prediction: Amy Stevens vs Sera Nishimoto
Team pages: Amy Stevens · Sera Nishimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Amy Stevens
Sera Nishimoto
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Amy Stevens
8-2 (W-L)
Sera Nishimoto
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amy Stevens 1500 · Sera Nishimoto 1420
| Amy Stevens | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amy Stevens (rating 1500 vs 1420).
- Amy Stevens is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Amy Stevens makes many double faults (8.4/match).
- Note: Sera Nishimoto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Amy Stevens | Sera Nishimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.5 | 7.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 53% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amy Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jasmine Adams W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Laquisa Khan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Yeri Hong W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Maiko Uchijima W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Rira Kosaka W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 0-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Onyu Choi W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 05/08 | Meiqi Guo W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Minxu Zhou W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amy Stevens vs Sera Nishimoto?
Our model gives 55% to Amy Stevens.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.