Tennis · W35 Sydney · 21/10, 02:30
Prediction: Naiktha Bains vs Natsuho Arakawa
Team pages: Naiktha Bains · Natsuho Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Naiktha Bains
Natsuho Arakawa
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Naiktha Bains
4-6 (W-L)
Natsuho Arakawa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naiktha Bains 1502 · Natsuho Arakawa 1440
| Naiktha Bains | Natsuho Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naiktha Bains (rating 1502 vs 1440).
- Note: Natsuho Arakawa makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Naiktha Bains | Natsuho Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 9.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naiktha Bains
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Polona Hercog W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Madalena Santos WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Natsuho Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Lucia Gale W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Rira Kosaka W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Remika Ohashi W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 02/09 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naiktha Bains vs Natsuho Arakawa?
Our model gives 76% to Naiktha Bains, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.