Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 20/10, 21:00
Prediction: Andres Martin vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Andres Martin · Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Andres Martin
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Martin
5-5 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1471 · Erik Arutiunian 1563
| Andres Martin | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erik Arutiunian (rating 1471 vs 1563).
- Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 63.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Andres Martin | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.1 | 11.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 54% to Erik Arutiunian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.