Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 22/10, 18:00
Prediction: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Marcondes
Team pages: Erik Arutiunian · Igor Marcondes
Prediction summary
Winner
Erik Arutiunian
Igor Marcondes
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Erik Arutiunian
6-4 (W-L)
Igor Marcondes
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erik Arutiunian 1566 · Igor Marcondes 1529
| Erik Arutiunian | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 60.1% break avg.
- Igor Marcondes dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 53.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Erik Arutiunian | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.5 | 11.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Andres Martin Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 19/10 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 54% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.