Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Kaylan Bigun · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaylan Bigun
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kaylan Bigun
7-3 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaylan Bigun 1522 · Aidan Mayo 1565
| Kaylan Bigun | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mayo (rating 1522 vs 1565).
Statistics
| Kaylan Bigun | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 12.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaylan Bigun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Noah Zamora Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikita Filin Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Jordan Lee Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 61% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.