Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 23/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Mees Rottgering · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Mees Rottgering
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1566 · Darwin Blanch 1575
| Mees Rottgering | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mees Rottgering makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.2 | 12.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Machac ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 53% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.