Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 20/10, 19:10
Prediction: Gavin Young vs Alex Rybakov
Team pages: Gavin Young · Alex Rybakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Gavin Young
Alex Rybakov
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gavin Young
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Rybakov
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gavin Young 1511 · Alex Rybakov 1532
| Gavin Young | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gavin Young | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 11.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Duncan Chan Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/10 | James Trotter Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | William Manning Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jack Anthrop M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Richard Biagiotti Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Bor Artnak Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Karl Poling Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Karue Sell Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Dan Martin Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavin Young vs Alex Rybakov?
Our model gives 53% to Alex Rybakov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.