Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 20/10, 19:30
Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy Cassone
Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Murphy Cassone
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Miyoshi
Murphy Cassone
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi
5-5 (W-L)
Murphy Cassone
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kenta Miyoshi
0–1
Murphy Cassone
(1 last)
- 15 Nov1-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1472 · Murphy Cassone 1626
| Kenta Miyoshi | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murphy Cassone (rating 1472 vs 1626).
- Murphy Cassone is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kenta Miyoshi 0–1 Murphy Cassone (1).
Statistics
| Kenta Miyoshi | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.7 | 14.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 77% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Kenta Miyoshi 0 – 1 Murphy Cassone (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kenta Miyoshi 0–1 Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 Challenger Champaign | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Miyoshi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/10 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 24/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy Cassone?
Our model gives 64% to Murphy Cassone, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.