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Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 21:30

Prediction: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

Team pages: Juan Pablo Ficovich · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Juan Pablo Ficovich Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Ficovich 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLWL
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLLWW
Head-to-head
Juan Pablo Ficovich 3–3 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (6 last)
  • 24 Mar1-2 10-13L
  • 24 Oct1-2 15-17L
  • 28 Mar0-2 6-12L
  • 11 Jan2-0 12-8W
  • 29 Jun2-0 13-9W
  • 22 Jun2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1422 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1523
Juan Pablo FicovichFelipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Our model36%64%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1422 vs 1523).
  • Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Juan Pablo FicovichFelipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Win %20%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71-1
Games (G-P)9.7-12.89.1-8.6
Aces32.6
Double faults2.41.9
1st serve %62.6%67.3%
Break %39.3%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

H2H · Juan Pablo Ficovich 3 – 3 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (6)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Pablo Ficovich 3–3 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/03/25
Challenger Merida
1-210-13L
24/10/24
Challenger Curitiba
1-215-17L
28/03/23
Challenger Mexico City
0-26-12L
11/01/22
Australian Open
2-012-8W
29/06/19
M15 Curitiba
2-013-9W
22/06/19
ITF M15 Sao JDR Preto
2-013-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Alex Barrena
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 0-2 8-13 L
23/09 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
 2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Francesco Maestrelli
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
 0-2 4-12 L
01/09 Pol Martin Tiffon
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
 0-2 8-12 L
26/08 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Kingston · Hard
 0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Evan Zhu
Challenger Kingston · Hard
 2-1 17-14 W
18/08 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
 0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Segovia · Hard
 0-2 7-12 L
14/07 Aziz Ouakaa
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
 1-2 16-17 L
08/07 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Newport · Grass
 1-2 16-17 L

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Cali · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
18/10 Lorenzo Claverie
Challenger Cali · Clay
 2-0 12-6 W
15/10 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
 0-2 5-12 L
09/10 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 0-2 5-12 L
07/10 Nick Hardt
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-0 12-6 W
06/10 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-0 12-4 W
30/09 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
 0-2 7-12 L
29/09 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
 2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Genoa · Clay
 0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Manacor · Hard
 0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?

Our model gives 69% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.