Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Alex Hernandez
Team pages: Gustavo Heide · Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Alex Hernandez
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
7-3 (W-L)
Alex Hernandez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1558 · Alex Hernandez 1520
| Gustavo Heide | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alex Hernandez makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.5 | 12.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Stan Wawrinka Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Gray Voelzke M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Miles Clark M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Alex Hernandez?
Our model gives 73% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.