Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Jose Pereira vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Team pages: Jose Pereira · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Jose Pereira
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jose Pereira
1–1
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
(2 last)
- 20 Feb2-0 13-8W
- 26 Sept0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jose Pereira 1569 · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1525
| Jose Pereira | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jose Pereira (rating 1569 vs 1525).
Statistics
| Jose Pereira | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.8 | 13-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Jose Pereira 1 – 1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jose Pereira 1–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/25 ITF M25 Punta del Este | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09/23 Challenger Bogota | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jose Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Wilson Leite M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Justin Roberts M15 Curitiba |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Remy Bertola Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jose Pereira vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 67% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.