Tennis · M15 Maceio · 21/10, 15:00
Prediction: Valentin Basel vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Valentin Basel · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Basel
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Basel
4-6 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentin Basel
0–1
Pedro Sakamoto
(1 last)
- 06 Nov0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Basel 1503 · Pedro Sakamoto 1588
| Valentin Basel | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1503 vs 1588).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Valentin Basel 0–1 Pedro Sakamoto (1).
Statistics
| Valentin Basel | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 12-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Valentin Basel 0 – 1 Pedro Sakamoto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentin Basel 0–1 Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/24 ITF M15 Recife | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Basel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Santiago Pesino M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Mateus Napoli da Silveira M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Enzo Lima M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Basel vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 73% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.