Tennis · M15 Monastir · 20/10, 12:00
Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Leo Deflandre
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez · Leo Deflandre
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Leo Deflandre
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Leo Deflandre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1486 · Leo Deflandre 1488
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Leo Deflandre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Leo Deflandre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.8 | 8.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Daniel Batista M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Leo Deflandre
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 10/09 | Matthew Carroll M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Kael Shalin Shah M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Luc Fomba M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 30/08 | Lluc Mir Anglada M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Otakar Ungerman M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 08/04 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Leo Deflandre?
Our model gives 62% to Mario Arce Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.