Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 21/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mikael Arseneault vs Matt Kuhar
Team pages: Mikael Arseneault · Matt Kuhar
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikael Arseneault
Matt Kuhar
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mikael Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Matt Kuhar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikael Arseneault 1454 · Matt Kuhar 1482
| Mikael Arseneault | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mikael Arseneault | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.4 | 10.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikael Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Timo Legout M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Matt Kuhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Naoto Tomizawa M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 31/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jesse Ruder-Hook M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikael Arseneault vs Matt Kuhar?
Our model gives 51% to Mikael Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.