Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti
Team pages: Moise Kouame · Lorenzo Musetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Moise Kouame
Lorenzo Musetti
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Musetti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1486 · Lorenzo Musetti 1530
| Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Musetti (rating 1486 vs 1530).
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Moise Kouame | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.9 | 12.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Lorenzo Musetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Yi Zhou ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Dane Sweeny US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 01/09 | Arthur Fery US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti?
Our model gives 66% to Lorenzo Musetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.