Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 20/10, 18:00
Prediction: Gray Voelzke vs Luciano Larosa
Team pages: Gray Voelzke
Prediction summary
Winner
Gray Voelzke
Luciano Larosa
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gray Voelzke
1-9 (W-L)
Luciano Larosa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gray Voelzke 1416 · Luciano Larosa 1479
| Gray Voelzke | Luciano Larosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luciano Larosa (rating 1416 vs 1479).
- Luciano Larosa is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Gray Voelzke makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Luciano Larosa makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Gray Voelzke | Luciano Larosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.4 | 9.8-11 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 24% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gray Voelzke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Alex Hernandez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Stian Klaassen M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Batiste Guerra M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Luciano Larosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 08/05 | Peter Hatton UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Michael Fernandez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Santiago Perez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/04 | Bas Bouwman UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/04 | Ids Waterbolk UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/04 | Victor Ryden UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Colin Standaart UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gray Voelzke vs Luciano Larosa?
Our model gives 54% to Luciano Larosa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.