Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 21/10, 11:00

Prediction: Lian Tran vs Sara Cakarevic

Team pages: Lian Tran · Sara Cakarevic

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Lian Tran Sara Cakarevic
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lian Tran 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLWW
Sara Cakarevic 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lian Tran 1537 · Sara Cakarevic 1503
Lian TranSara Cakarevic
Our model55%45%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lian TranSara Cakarevic
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay – 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.4-1
Games (G-P)11-9.411.5-10.5
Aces0.13
Double faults2.21.9
1st serve %55.1%63%
Break %49.2%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lian Tran

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Gina Marie Dittmann
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 12-8 W
18/10 Amahee Charrier
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Anna Burchak
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
1-2 10-13 L
04/10 Evita Ramirez
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-6 W
01/10 Diana Martynov
W35 Reims
0-2 6-13 L
30/09 Tina Manescu
W35 Reims
2-0 12-6 W
14/09 Clara Vlasselaer
W75 Le Neubourg
1-2 15-16 L
13/09 Daniela Vismane
W75 Le Neubourg
2-0 12-7 W
11/09 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Dijon
0-2 7-12 L
10/09 Marie Mattel
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-6 W

Sara Cakarevic

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Marie Mattel
W50 Cherbourg
2-1 16-16 W
18/10 Kim Chiarello
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 12-4 W
12/10 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Lisbon · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
11/10 Katerina Tsygourova
WTA Lisbon · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
08/10 Lisa Zaar
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
06/10 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Tena Lukas
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Noemi Maines
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
04/09 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-12 L
03/09 Elena Milovanovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lian Tran vs Sara Cakarevic?

Our model gives 53% to Sara Cakarevic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.