Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 20/10, 08:30
Prediction: Shiyu Ye vs Ginevra Montebruno
Team pages: Shiyu Ye · Ginevra Montebruno
Prediction summary
Winner
Shiyu Ye
Ginevra Montebruno
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Shiyu Ye
4-6 (W-L)
Ginevra Montebruno
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiyu Ye 1481 · Ginevra Montebruno 1440
| Shiyu Ye | Ginevra Montebruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shiyu Ye (rating 1481 vs 1440).
- Note: Ginevra Montebruno makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Shiyu Ye | Ginevra Montebruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.9 | 7.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 49.4% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Yanan Hou W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Jialan Cai W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Momoko Kobori W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ginevra Montebruno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Greta Petrillo W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Emilie Chablaix W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Kate Gardiner W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Alice Soulie UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nikola Hlavata UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiyu Ye vs Ginevra Montebruno?
Our model gives 71% to Shiyu Ye, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.