Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 20/10, 08:30
Prediction: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Denise Valente
Team pages: Marianne Argyrokastriti · Denise Valente
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Denise Valente
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marianne Argyrokastriti
7-3 (W-L)
Denise Valente
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1571 · Denise Valente 1510
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Denise Valente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianne Argyrokastriti (rating 1571 vs 1510).
- Note: Marianne Argyrokastriti makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Denise Valente makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Denise Valente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9 | 10.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Jessica Pieri W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Laura Mair W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Adriana Monlleo Ramos W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriela Paun W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Martina Colmegna W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Fabiola Marino W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
Denise Valente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Alessandra Fiorillo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Amelie Brooks W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Leticia Romanova W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aspen Schuman W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Denise Valente?
Our model gives 69% to Marianne Argyrokastriti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.