Tennis · M15 Monastir · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Simone Massellani vs Samir Hamza Reguig
Team pages: Samir Hamza Reguig
Prediction summary
Winner
Simone Massellani
Samir Hamza Reguig
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Simone Massellani
5-5 (W-L)
Samir Hamza Reguig
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simone Massellani 1459 · Samir Hamza Reguig 1533
| Simone Massellani | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samir Hamza Reguig (rating 1459 vs 1533).
- Samir Hamza Reguig is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Simone Massellani | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.8 | 10-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.4% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 42% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simone Massellani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/03 | Tiago Cacao M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Porec · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/02 | Mak Mikovic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/02 | Savva Rybkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/02 | Yanki Erel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 17/02 | Lachlan Vickery M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Samir Hamza Reguig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Kaan Isik Kosaner M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Lynch M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Carles Hernandez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Benoit Torcq M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Darsh Sachin Patel M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Emirhan Bulut Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simone Massellani vs Samir Hamza Reguig?
Our model gives 52% to Samir Hamza Reguig, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.