Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 20/10, 11:30
Prediction: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Lavinia Luciano
Team pages: Jennifer Ruggeri · Lavinia Luciano
Prediction summary
Winner
Jennifer Ruggeri
Lavinia Luciano
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jennifer Ruggeri
5-5 (W-L)
Lavinia Luciano
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jennifer Ruggeri 1449 · Lavinia Luciano 1492
| Jennifer Ruggeri | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lavinia Luciano (rating 1449 vs 1492).
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Jennifer Ruggeri | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.7 | 8.9-8.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 57% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jennifer Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Ani Amiraghyan W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Julia Grabher WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Lavinia Luciano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Gabriella Price W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Viola Bedini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Nicole Andrea Molaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Ellie Daniels W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Florentine Dekkers W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Irem Kurt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Warona Mdlulwa W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Nina Andronicou W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Mariia Drobysheva W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jennifer Ruggeri vs Lavinia Luciano?
Our model gives 70% to Jennifer Ruggeri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.