Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 20/10, 11:30
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alessandra Mazzola
Team pages: Lucie Nguyen Tan · Alessandra Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Alessandra Mazzola
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Alessandra Mazzola
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Nguyen Tan
0–1
Alessandra Mazzola
(1 last)
- 10 Oct1-2 14-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1534 · Alessandra Mazzola 1527
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucie Nguyen Tan 0–1 Alessandra Mazzola (1).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.6 | 10.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 49.8% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Lucie Nguyen Tan 0 – 1 Alessandra Mazzola (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Nguyen Tan 0–1 Alessandra Mazzola
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/23 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 1-2 | 14-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Laura Samsonova WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Eva Bennemann WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Mireia Sagrista Bermejo WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Seville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Pia Lovric W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Ares Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W75 Le Neubourg |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Alina Granwehr WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Alessandra Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Laima Vladson W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Dunja Maric W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Alessandra Mazzola?
Our model gives 52% to Alessandra Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.