Tennis · ATP Lyon · 20/10, 13:30

Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Borna Gojo

Team pages: Arthur Fery · Borna Gojo

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Arthur Fery Borna Gojo
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fery 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLWL
Borna Gojo 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1500 · Borna Gojo 1572
Arthur FeryBorna Gojo
Our model40%60%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borna Gojo (rating 1500 vs 1572).
  • Borna Gojo dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 45.1% break avg.

Statistics

Arthur FeryBorna Gojo
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.7-11.812.5-10.9
Aces3.29.7
Double faults2.52.9
1st serve %67.6%75.8%
Break %44.6%45.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 53% · 1.80 Under 22.5: 47% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arthur Fery

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Karen Khachanov
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 19-20 L
07/10 Marin Cilic
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
01/10 Jaime Faria
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
19/09 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Davis Cup
2-0 13-5 W
01/09 Lorenzo Musetti
US Open · Hard
0-3 11-19 L
29/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
26/08 Mees Rottgering
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Cruz Hewitt
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
17/08 Alex De Minaur
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 11-14 L

Borna Gojo

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/10 Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
09/10 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/10 Philip Henning
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
05/10 Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
22/09 Vadym Ursu
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
17/09 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Borna Gojo?

Our model gives 54% to Arthur Fery, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.