Tennis · ATP Lyon · 20/10, 16:30

Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur

Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Clement Tabur

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Luca Van Assche Clement Tabur
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLLL
Clement Tabur 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1492 · Clement Tabur 1528
Luca Van AsscheClement Tabur
Our model45%55%
Market62%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Luca Van AsscheClement Tabur
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-1.3
Games (G-P)11.6-12.314-12.7
Aces4.35.9
Double faults4.92.5
1st serve %66.8%72.2%
Break %31.5%41.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 41% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luca Van Assche

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/09 Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Denis Shapovalov
US Open · Hard
0-3 10-19 L
30/08 Cameron Norrie
US Open · Hard
3-1 24-14 W
25/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/08 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
21/08 Benjamin Bonzi
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
20/08 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
14/08 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Clement Tabur

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/10 Valentin Royer
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
14/10 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
13/10 Henry Bernet
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
02/10 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
30/09 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
23/09 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
15/09 Harold Mayot
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 16-14 L
25/08 Braden Shick
US Open · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur?

Our model gives 54% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.