Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 21/10, 08:00
Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Amit Vales
Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas · Amit Vales
Prediction summary
Winner
Petros Tsitsipas
Amit Vales
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Amit Vales
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1454 · Amit Vales 1605
| Petros Tsitsipas | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amit Vales (rating 1454 vs 1605).
- Amit Vales is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Petros Tsitsipas | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.7 | 12.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petros Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Jip Van Assendelft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Mathys Domenc M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 01/10 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Louis Wessels M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Maxence Rivet M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Tyler Stice M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/10 | Jiri Cizek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Mathieu Scaglia Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Amit Vales?
Our model gives 75% to Amit Vales, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.