Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 20/10, 07:00
Prediction: Minghui Zhang vs Kuan-Shou Chen
Team pages: Minghui Zhang · Kuan-Shou Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Minghui Zhang
Kuan-Shou Chen
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Minghui Zhang
1-9 (W-L)
Kuan-Shou Chen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minghui Zhang 1419 · Kuan-Shou Chen 1556
| Minghui Zhang | Kuan-Shou Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kuan-Shou Chen (rating 1419 vs 1556).
- Kuan-Shou Chen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Minghui Zhang | Kuan-Shou Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.4 | 12.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minghui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 01/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hao Sheng Koay M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Kuan-Shou Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Filip Peliwo M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Shaoyun Liu M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Dominik Palan M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minghui Zhang vs Kuan-Shou Chen?
Our model gives 79% to Kuan-Shou Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.