Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 21/10, 09:00

Prediction: Valentina Steiner vs Nastasja Schunk

Team pages: Valentina Steiner · Nastasja Schunk

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Valentina Steiner Nastasja Schunk
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Steiner 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWLW
Nastasja Schunk 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentina Steiner 1491 · Nastasja Schunk 1539
Valentina SteinerNastasja Schunk
Our model43%57%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nastasja Schunk (rating 1491 vs 1539).
  • Note: Valentina Steiner makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Valentina SteinerNastasja Schunk
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.4-0.6
Games (G-P)10.3-11.210.2-8.7
Aces0.31.2
Double faults4.52
1st serve %55.8%61.8%
Break %54.9%40.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentina Steiner

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Anna Burchak
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
1-2 10-14 L
24/09 Katie Swan
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
22/09 Caroline Werner
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
21/09 Kylie Collins
WTA Porto · Hard
2-1 13-14 W
17/09 Marta Lombardini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Romane Longueville
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
08/09 Jessica Pieri
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/08 Gabriela Ce
W35 Trieste
0-2 7-12 L
27/08 Federica Sacco
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Federica Trevisan
W35 Trieste
2-1 14-12 W

Nastasja Schunk

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Emma Lene
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 6-12 L
06/10 Marie Weckerle
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-6 W
17/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Valencia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Dalila Jakupovic
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
08/09 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
07/09 Tena Lukas
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Ceylin Oz
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Francesca Pace
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-9 W
29/08 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentina Steiner vs Nastasja Schunk?

Our model gives 65% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.