Tennis · ATP Almaty · 21/10, 08:00
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi
Team pages: James Duckworth · Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
4-6 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1510 · Luciano Darderi 1504
| James Duckworth | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.5 | 12.4-13.2 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 29.3% | 21.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Kamil Majchrzak Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Matteo Arnaldi US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 28/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 05/09 | Dane Sweeny US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 53% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.