Tennis · Challenger Cali · 19/10, 18:30
Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Franco Ribero
Team pages: Alex Hernandez · Franco Ribero
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Hernandez
Franco Ribero
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez
8-2 (W-L)
Franco Ribero
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Hernandez
1–0
Franco Ribero
(1 last)
- 31 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1545 · Franco Ribero 1452
| Alex Hernandez | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Hernandez (rating 1545 vs 1452).
- Alex Hernandez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alex Hernandez 1–0 Franco Ribero (1).
- Note: Alex Hernandez makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alex Hernandez | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11 | 9.1-10 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Alex Hernandez 1 – 0 Franco Ribero (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Hernandez 1–0 Franco Ribero
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/21 ITF M25 Santo Domingo | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Hernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Gray Voelzke M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Miles Clark M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Franco Ribero
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jesse Flores Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Danial Spasov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Franco Ribero?
Our model gives 64% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.