Tennis · M15 Maceio · 19/10, 15:00
Prediction: Valentin Basel vs Santiago Pesino
Team pages: Valentin Basel · Santiago Pesino
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Basel
Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Basel
3-7 (W-L)
Santiago Pesino
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Basel 1473 · Santiago Pesino 1470
| Valentin Basel | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valentin Basel | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.8 | 9.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mateus Napoli da Silveira M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Enzo Lima M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Santiago Pesino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kaue Noatto M15 Maceio |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Ian Vertberger M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Lautaro Correa Beguerie M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 12/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Nicolas Baena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Bautista De La Pena M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Basel vs Santiago Pesino?
Our model gives 62% to Valentin Basel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.