Tennis · Challenger Fort Worth · 19/10, 18:00
Prediction: Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan
Team pages: Gavin Young · Duncan Chan
Prediction summary
Winner
Gavin Young
Duncan Chan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gavin Young
4-6 (W-L)
Duncan Chan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gavin Young 1483 · Duncan Chan 1499
| Gavin Young | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Duncan Chan makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Gavin Young | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.8 | 12.2-13.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | James Trotter Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | William Manning Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jack Anthrop M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Richard Biagiotti Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Duncan Chan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Denis Petak Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | James McCabe Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan?
Our model gives 57% to Duncan Chan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.